Blog Post 3.6 - Polling in Nevada
1. Who made up the "universe" or polling population of this particular poll? Nevada Democrats who will vote in the Democratic primary 2. If 25% of people say they are supporting Bernie Sanders and the sampling error is 4.8%, what is the actual range of Sanders's support? 20.2%-29.8% 3. Using the margin of error, describe a possible scenario in which Sanders would not win, but still fits the polls data. Biden is estimated to have 18% support. Assuming that he gets the most support possible with the 4.8% error and Bernie receives the least possible support, Biden beats Bernie, 22.8% to 20.2%. 4. What were the results found in earlier polls taken in Nevada this year? According to a USA Today poll, Biden is beating Bernie 19% to 18%. Warren has 10%. A Fox News poll shows Biden with 23%, Bernie with 17%, and Warren and Steyer both with 5%. 5. What changes took place in Nevada's candidate selection after 2004? After 2004, Nevada adopted a caucus system, replacin...