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Showing posts from February, 2020

Blog Post 3.6 - Polling in Nevada

1. Who made up the "universe" or polling population of this particular poll? Nevada Democrats who will vote in the Democratic primary 2. If 25% of people say they are supporting Bernie Sanders and the sampling error is 4.8%, what is the actual range of Sanders's support? 20.2%-29.8% 3. Using the margin of error, describe a possible scenario in which Sanders would not win, but still fits the polls data. Biden is estimated to have 18% support. Assuming that he gets the most support possible with the 4.8% error and Bernie receives the least possible support, Biden beats Bernie, 22.8% to 20.2%. 4. What were the results found in earlier polls taken in Nevada this year? According to a USA Today poll, Biden is beating Bernie 19% to 18%. Warren has 10%. A Fox News poll shows Biden with 23%, Bernie with 17%, and Warren and Steyer both with 5%. 5. What changes took place in Nevada's candidate selection after 2004? After 2004, Nevada adopted a caucus system, replacin...

Blog Post 3.5 - Civil Servants

1.  What was Lt Colonel Alexander Vindman's job in the bureaucracy? Vindman was a Ukraine expert on the National Security Council. 2. What did Vindman testify during the impeachment investigation? Vindman said that he found it inappropriate that Trump asked Zelensky to investigate his political opponent, Joe Biden. 3. What did the White House do to Vindman and his brother? The White House fired Vindman from his post, and his brother resigned. 4. How is the White House justifying this action? The White House says this action was done to reduce the size of the National Security Council and had nothing to do with Vindman personally or his testimony. 5. Why does the author argue that this creates a danger for other civil servants? Now, other civil servants will be more scared to speak out against Trump if he does something inappropriate. 6. What was Gordon Sondland's job  He was the ambassador to the European Union. 7. What did Ambassador Sondland testi...

Blog Post 3.4 - ITS PRIMARY SEASON

1.What's the difference between Phase 1 and Phase 2 of the primary calendar? Phase one includes four early states that have a little number of delegates, but have significant impacts on the primary process. Then, phase two, which takes place between March 1st to 17nd, is the most consequential with more than half of delegates being locked down for a candidate. 2. Which four states get to vote first, separated roughly into one each week? Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina 3. There are few delegates available in these four states, why are the primaries so important? These early primaries are important because they determine which candidate is heavily supported, effectively deciding the top two contenders for the nomination. 4. How many delegates are available in Phase 2? 3979 5. Which regions are holding most of their primaries on Super Tuesday? The South and the West 6. How many primaries are held the following week on March 10? And how many on March 17?  March ...